VISION 2050 - MINALOC

1 VISION 2050 |1 Republic of RwandaVISION 2050 VISION 2050 |2 VISION 2050 VISION 2050 |3 CONTENTSV ision 2050 4 Executive Summary 5 Background to VISION 2050 81. Introduction 82. Rwanda s changing development context 83. Development of VISION 2050 9 The Rwanda we want: prosperity and High Quality of Life for all Rwandans 101. Economic Growth and prosperity 102. High Quality and Standards of Life for Rwandans 10 pillars of the VISION 2050 121. Human Development 122. Competitiveness and Integration 173. Agriculture for Wealth Creation 244. Urbanization and Agglomeration 295.

2 Accountable and Capable State Institutions 34 Key considerations for success 371. Strong and Sustainable macroeconomic fundamentals 382. Positive Values supporting Societal Transformation 413. Rigorous and Effective monitoring and implementation framework 44 Conclusion 46 VISION 2050 Indicators Matrix 47 VISION 2050 |4 They want access to world-class education, right here at home. They aspire to travel the world in search of new ideas and experiences, unhindered by barriers.

3 And then fly proudly back home to Rwanda, because there is no other place they would rather live. If this sounds right, then we are together. That means: Not alone, but all of us. President Paul KagameState of the Nation Address | Umushyikirano, December 2015 We don t want to be a status quo country or status quo people. VISION 2020 was about what we had to do in order to survive and regain our dignity. But VISION 2050 has to be about the future we choose, because we can, and because we deserve will not be satisfied to live paycheck to paycheck, harvest to harvest, without accumulating wealth and financial security.

4 They want to live close to the families they love and watch them thrive. VISION 2050 VISION 2050 |5 EXECUTIVE SUMMARYR wanda s VISION 2050 articulates the long-term strategic direction for the Rwanda we want and the enabling pathways to achieve this ambition. Energized by but by no means content with the past two decades of successes and having learned lessons from challenges encountered towards achieving VISION 2020; Rwanda now aspires to transform its economy and modernize the lives of all Rwandans. Recognizing that achieving these aspirations will require bold and decisive action, VISION 2050 serves as the critical planning and policy blueprint to guide the efforts of all players in Rwanda s development, including Government, private sector, citizens, diaspora, civil society and faith-based organizations, development partners, academia and research institutions, and political preparation of VISION 2050 has considered global and regional development agendas to ensure harmonization of targets and indicators.

5 These include: The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), African Union (AU) Agenda 2063, East African Community (EAC) VISION 2050, and the Paris Agreement on climate change among other instruments. The VISION 2050 sets a new pathway that will lead the country to the living standards of upper middle income by 2035 and high income countries by VISION 2050 has overarching goals of promoting Economic Growth and prosperity and High Quality of Life for Rwandans and is anchored around five DevelopmentRwanda s population was million people in 2012 and was estimated at million in 2020 (NISR, 2020).

6 According to the National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda (NISR), The Rwandan population is projected to increase by more than 50% to million by 2035 and to double to about million people by 2050. During this period, the share of the working age population is expected to grow from around 61% of the population in 2017 to in 2050 |6 Reaping the economic benefits from this demographic dividend will be realized only through an integrated approach that ensures that decline in fertility is backed up by essential investments in human capital development and economic reforms so that the country has a healthy, well educated.

7 And highly skilled labor force that is gainfully and IntegrationRwanda s ambition to become a developed country hinges on its ability to enhance competitiveness at various levels. Key aspects to consider include economic competitiveness underpinned by modern technology, innovation, research, quality infrastructure, favourable cost of doing business and micro factors such as increased firm and labour for Wealth CreationAgriculture has and will continue to play a prominent role in both economic growth and poverty reduction as it has important implications for food security, nutrition, exports, and has backward and forward linkages to both industry and services sectors.

8 Going into 2050, the Agriculture is expected to be totally transformed with professional farmers and commercialized value and AgglomerationUrbanization in Rwanda is rapidly evolving and presents many opportunities for increased access to markets, skills and employment among others. The new focus will be on identifying and creating synergies between the critical elements of urbanization that create agglomeration and enhance the socioeconomic benefits of urbanization. VISION 2050 |7 Accountable and Capable State Institutions Rwanda s strong track record is underpinned by effective institutions which in turn facilitate economic growth and development over the long term.

9 To fulfil the VISION 2050 aspirations, Rwanda s institutions and governance will need to adapt to the changing environment, become modern, innovative, accountable to citizens, and rooted in the rule of law. Building on the achievements of the VISION 2020 in citizen participation, good governance, rule of law, peace and stability, Rwanda will go into the next phase of long term development aiming to consolidate gains made and continue citizen-centred reforms enshrined in local innovations and home grown in Rwanda s development journey, Rwandans made a triple choice : staying together, being accountable and thinking big, highlighting the way of doing business unusually1.

10 Rwandans are cognizant that attaining the aspirational goals of VISION 2050 will be challenging but will call for a number of prerequisites and success factors that include intense improvements in productivity through strong and sustainable macroeconomic fundamentals, consistency in prioritization of investments, increasing the role of private sector and deepening regional integration. It will also require positive values for societal transformation and adopting an unconventional approach and not business-as-usual mindset associated to a rigorous and effective monitoring and implementation framework to ensure delivery of results.