1 Population Growth Models

1 Population Growth ModelsBack to our problem of trying to predict the future, or at least the future Population of somespecies in some region. Two ideas for how to do this come to first is to look at the historical data and see if we can identify trends. This is agreat idea, but is often very difficult. Data seldom fits a simple pattern perfectly and wemust constantly worry about what trends are real in the data, what trends are due totemporary changes in the situation and what trends are created by our human desire to seepatterns, even when there are other idea is to try to make a deterministic model of the Population that is basedon some basic assumptions of how the Population changes. We need a model that is simpleenough to use, but complicated enough to give an at least approximately reliable first idea requires we be able to interpret data from a complicated noisy world so weneed techniques and expertise in statistics (stay tuned!). So for now we follow the secondidea and construct Models based on some (simple) assumptions about biology.

1 Population Growth Models Back to our problem of trying to predict the future, or at least the future population of some species in some region.

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