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2301 Constitution Ave., NW • Washington, DC 20037 • 202 ...

About the RepoRtAs the Ukraine crisis escalated, staff at the Institute of Peace (USIP) with experience in the region mobilized for a comprehensive conflict analysis with the aim of identifying plausible conflict scenarios and the forces and factors that propel them, ultimately pinpointing potential approaches that might prevent, mitigate, or resolve violent conflicts in the regions neighboring Russia. Using scenario analysis, facilitated by Alan Schwartz, Policy Futures, LLC, this report provides a framework for understanding emerging conflict dynamics in post-Soviet countries and identifies conflict prevention and mitigation the AuthoRsDr.

past decade across the former Soviet Union—the 2007 cyberattacks on Estonia and the 2008 war in Georgia, for example—and sets the stage for the next three to five years. The unrest in Ukraine has become a signal case, as actions lead to reactions across the …

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