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CHAPTER 2 Estimating Probabilities

CHAPTER 2 Estimating ProbabilitiesMachine LearningCopyrightc 2017. Tom M. Mitchell. All rights reserved.*DRAFT OF January 26, 2018**PLEASE DO NOT DISTRIBUTE WITHOUT AUTHOR SPERMISSION*This is a rough draft CHAPTER intended for inclusion in the upcoming secondedition of the textbookMachine Learning, Mitchell, McGraw are welcome to use this for educational purposes, but do not duplicateor repost it on the internet. For online copies of this and other materialsrelated to this book, visit the web site send suggestions for improvements, or suggested exercises, machine learning methods depend on probabilistic approaches.

available data, and (2) be smart about how we represent joint probability distribu-tions. 2 Estimating Probabilities Let us begin our discussion of how to estimate probabilities with a simple exam-ple, and explore two intuitive algorithms. It will turn out that these two intuitive

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