Transcription of Cramming More Components onto Integrated Circuits
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Cramming more Components ontoIntegrated CircuitsGORDON E. MOORE,LIFE FELLOW, IEEEWith unit cost falling as the number of Components per circuitrises, by 1975 economics may dictate squeezing as many as 65 000components on a single silicon future of Integrated electronics is the future ofelectronics itself. The advantages of integration will bringabout a proliferation of electronics, pushing this scienceinto many new Circuits will lead to such wonders as homecomputers or at least terminals connected to a centralcomputer automatic controls for automobiles, and per-sonal portable communications equipment. The electronicwristwatch needs only a display to be feasible the biggest potential lies in the production of largesystems. In telephone communications, Integrated circuitsin digital filters will separate channels on multiplex equip-ment.
the cost per component. Thus there is a minimum cost at any given time in the evolution of the technology. At present, it is reached when 50 components are used per circuit. But the minimum is rising rapidly while the entire cost curve is falling (see graph). If we look ahead five years, a plot of costs suggests that the minimum cost per
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