Currency Manipulation and World Trade

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES" Currency Manipulation " AND World TRADER obert W. StaigerAlan O. SykesWorking Paper 14600 BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH1050 Massachusetts AvenueCambridge, MA 02138 December 2008We have benefited from the helpful and detailed comments of Kyle Bagwell, Alan Deardorff, CharlesEngel, Ronald McKinnon, and seminar participants at the University of Chicago Law School, StanfordLaw School, and the 2008 annual meeting of the American Law and Economics Association. Staigergratefully acknowledges financial support from the Stanford Law School and NSF (SES-0518802). The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of theNational Bureau of Economic working papers are circulated for discussion and comment purposes. They have not been peer-reviewed or been subject to the review by the NBER Board of Directors that accompanies officialNBER publications. 2008 by Robert W.

⁄ows such as the trade surplus or de–cit, is a matter of some theoretical and empirical controversy as will become clear in Section 3. For now, we start with an obvious and politically salient fact.

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