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EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) …
EL NI O/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC. DISCUSSION. issued by climate prediction center /NCEP/NWS. and the International Research Institute for climate and Society 8 March 2018. ENSO Alert System Status: La Ni a Advisory Synopsis: A transition from La Ni a to ENSO-neutral is most likely (~55% chance) during the March-May season, with neutral conditions likely to continue into the second half of the year. During February 2018, La Ni a weakened, but was still reflected by below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean (Fig. 1). The latest weekly index values were C and C in the Ni and Ni o-3 regions, respectively, and were near zero in the surrounding Ni and Ni o1+2 regions (Fig. 2). While negative anomalies were maintained near the surface, the sub-surface temperature anomalies (averaged across 180 -100 W) warmed to near zero (Fig. 3). This warming was due to the eastward propagation of above-average temperatures along the thermocline in association with a downwelling equatorial oceanic Kelvin wave (Fig.)
EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION issued by CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society
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