Transcription of ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions
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ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP. 5 February 2018. Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Ni o Index (ONI). Pacific SST Outlook Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks Summary Summary ENSO Alert System Status : La Ni a Advisory La Ni a conditions are present.*. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. La Ni a is likely (~85-95%) through Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral expected during the spring.
October to mid-November, negative anomalies weakened, followed by persistence through late December. Recently, negative anomalies have weakened and are near average. ... (updated 20 December 2021). A majority of models indicate La Niña is expected to continue through winter 2021-22 and into
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