Transcription of Forecasting Methods - UCLouvain
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Forecasting Methods - UCLouvain
Prod 2100-2110 Forecasting Methods 0 Forecasting Methods What is Forecasting ? Why is Forecasting important ? How can we evaluate a future demand ? How do we make mistakes ? Prod 2100-2110 Forecasting Methods 1 Contents 1. FRAMEWORK OF PLANNING DECISIONS .. 2 2. Forecasting .. 3 3 TYPE OF FORECASTS: .. 4 3. TIME SERIES Methods .. 5 5 7 4 STATIONARY TIME SERIES .. 8 MOVING AVERAGE:.. 8 WEIGHTED AVERAGE: .. 9 EXP. SMOOTHING: .. 9 COMPARISON BETWEEN MA AND ES .. 10 5 TREND-BASED TIME SERIES .. 11 LINEAR 12 DOUBLE EXP. SMOOTHING (HOLT).. 13 COMPARISON ( LIN. REGRESSION - 2ES) .. 15 6. SEASONAL TIME SERIES .. 16 CMA 17 WINTERS' 21 7. EVALUATION OF FORECAST .. 22 8.
Prod 2100-2110 Forecasting Methods 0 Forecasting Methods What is forecasting ? Why is forecasting important ? How can we evaluate a future demand ?
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