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macroeconomics theory predicts that agents do not care about business cycles,6 asset prices reveal that they do: agents forgo substantial return premia to avoid assets whose value falls in recessions. And yet theory still lags behind: we do not yet have a well-described model that fully explains these correlations.

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Contents

Macroeconomics tries to address situations facing the economy as a whole. Adam Smith , the founding father of modern economics, had suggested that if the buyers and sellers in each market take their decisions following only their own self-interest, economists will not need to think of the wealth and welfare of the country as a whole separately.

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