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Introduction to the rugarch package. (Version 1.0-14)

Introduction to the rugarch package.(Version )Alexios GhalanosJanuary 13, 2013 Contents1 Introduction32 Model Univariate ARFIMAX Models .. Univariate GARCH Models .. standard GARCH model ( sGARCH ) .. integrated GARCH model ( iGARCH ) .. exponential GARCH model .. GJR-GARCH model ( gjrGARCH ) .. asymmetric power ARCH model ( apARCH ) .. family GARCH model ( fGARCH ) .. Component sGARCH model ( csGARCH ) .. conditional Distributions .. Normal Distribution .. Student Distribution .. generalized Error Distribution .. Distributions by Inverse Scale Factors .. generalized Hyperbolic Distribution and Sub-Families .. generalized Hyperbolic Skew Student Distribution .. s Reparametrized SU Distribution ..193 Fit Diagnostics ..224 Filtering265 Forecasting and the GARCH Bootstrap276 Simulation297 Rolling Estimation308 Simulated Parameter Distribution and RMSE339 The ARFIMAX Model with constant variance38110 Mispecification and Other The GMM Orthogonality Test.

generalized the GARCH models to capture time variation in the full density parameters, with the Autoregressive Conditional Density Model 1 , relaxing the assumption that the conditional distribution of the standardized innovations is independent of the conditioning information.

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  Generalized, Conditional, Autoregressive, Autoregressive conditional

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