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Machine Learning Basics: Estimators, Bias and Variance

Deep Learning Srihari 1 Machine Learning Basics: Estimators, Bias and Variance Sargur N. Srihari This is part of lecture slides on Deep Learning : ~srihari/CSE676 Deep Learning Srihari Topics in Basics of ML 1. Learning Algorithms 2. Capacity, Overfitting and Underfitting 3. Hyperparameters and Validation Sets 4. Estimators, Bias and Variance 5. Maximum Likelihood Estimation 6. Bayesian Statistics 7. Supervised Learning Algorithms 8. Unsupervised Learning Algorithms 9. Stochastic Gradient Descent 10. Building a Machine Learning Algorithm 11. Challenges Motivating Deep Learning 2 Deep Learning Srihari Topics in Estimators, Bias, Variance 0. Statistical tools useful for generalization 1. Point estimation 2. Bias 3. Variance and Standard Error 4. Bias- Variance tradeoff to minimize MSE 5.

Estimator for Gaussian variance • mThe sample variance is • We are interested in computing bias( ) =E( ) - σ2 • We begin by evaluating à • Thus the bias of is –σ2/m • Thus the sample variance is a biased estimator • The unbiased sample variance estimator is 13 σˆ m 2= 1 m x(i)−ˆµ (m) 2 i=1 ∑ σˆ m 2σˆ σˆ m 2

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