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Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data

This paper presents preliminary findings and is being distributed to economists and other interested readers solely to stimulate discussion and elicit comments. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the authors. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data Brandyn Bok Daniele Caratelli Domenico Giannone Argia Sbordone Andrea Tambalotti Staff Report No. 830 November 2017 Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data Brandyn Bok, Daniele Caratelli, Domenico Giannone, Argia Sbordone, and Andrea Tambalotti Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, no. 830 November 2017 JEL classification: C32, C53, C55, E32 Abstract Data, data, data.

business cycles be made to reveal themselves de nitely enough to permit close observation." Burns and Mitchell, eds(1946), Measuring Business Cycles (p.11) I Introduction For more than a century, government agencies and private institutions have been collecting and organizing information on many facets of the economy, and over time the scope of ...

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