Transcription of Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to …
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Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to …
Medium-term System Adequacy Outlook 2017 to 2021 31 July 2017 2 Contents 1. Overview .. 3 2. Introduction .. 3 3. Methodology and approach .. 3 4. Assumptions .. 5 Demand forecast .. 5 Existing and committed supply resources .. 7 Eskom installed 7 New build commercial operation dates .. 8 Non-Eskom capacity without the 9 10 Demand-side 10 Eskom plant performance .. 10 5. Modelling scenarios .. 12 6. Results and conclusion .. 13 7. Glossary and abbreviations .. 14 List of figures Figure 1: MTSAO methodology .. 5 Figure 2: energy demand forecast .. 6 Figure 3: Comparison of historical and forecast demand.
6 Figure 2: Energy demand forecast The moderate growth forecast takes account of current economic conditions, and forecasts increase in demand as a result of Eskom’s drive to increase sales both
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