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More COPS, Less Crime

More COPS, Less Crime Steven MelloPrinceton UniversityIndustrial Relations SectionSimpson International BuildingPrinceton, NJ 25, 2018 AbstractI exploit a natural experiment to estimate the causal effect of police on Crime . The AmericanRecovery and Reinvestment Act increased funding for the Community Oriented PolicingServices (COPS) hiring grant program from less than$20 million over 2005-2008 to$1 billion in2009. Hiring grants distributed in 2009 were allocated according to an application score cutoffrule, and I leverage quasi-random variation in grant receipt by comparing the change overtime in police and crimes for cities above and below the threshold in a difference in differencesframework.

key tenet of the crime bill was the creation of the COPS Universal Hiring Program (CHP), which covered 75% of the cost of new police hires for grant recipients. The stated goal of the hiring grant 1Another noteworthy study is the recent paper by Chalfin …

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