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Predictive Modeling: Basics and Beyond - Global …

Predictive Modeling: Basics and Beyond June 2009. SCIO inspire Corp Proprietary & confidential. Copyright 2010. Agenda 1. What is Predictive Modeling? 2. Types of Predictive models. 3. Data and Data Preparation. 4. Applications case studies. 2. SCIO inspire Corp Proprietary & confidential. Copyright 2010. Introductions Ian Duncan FSA FIA FCIA MAAA. President, Solucia Consulting, A SCIO inspire Company. Actuarial Consulting company founded in 1998. A leader in managed care, disease management and Predictive modeling applications. 4 healthcare actuaries; 4 PhDs; healthcare analytics team. Four main business segments: Disease and Care Management consulting (operations; ROI; outcomes; Predictive modeling).

Diabetes – – drug codes. Insulin or Oral Hypoglycemic Agents are often used to identify members. A simple example follows; for more detail, see the HEDIS code‐set.

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