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Technical Analysis Approach: part I

Understanding the market Technical Analysis approach : part I Xiaoguang Wang President, Purdue Quantitative Finance Club PhD Candidate, Department of Statistics Purdue University Outline Why Technical Analysis ? Philosophy of Technical Analysis Fundamental assumptions Definitions of trend, support and resistance Different Charting styles Reversal and Continuation patterns Principle of Confirmation and Divergence MetaTrader4 introduction Conclusion Question: How to trade successfully in the market? Profits significantly out-beat risk-free rate or the return of market index Statistically stable performance in a long run The worst loss is still affordable Trading formula Expected profits = (Target price entry price)*P{success} (Entry price stop price)*P{failure} Decision making: Determine (Entry price, Target price, Stop Price) such that the expected profits can be maximized.

Support and resistance •Support is a level or area on the chart under the market where buying interest is sufficiently strong to overcome selling pressure and a decline is halted and prices turn back up. •Resistance is a level or area over the market where selling pressure overcomes buying pressure and a price advance is turned back.

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