THE 2030 SPIKE - Central Intelligence Agency

THE2030 SPIKECOUNTDOWN TOGLOBALCATASTROPHEC olin MasonLondon Sterling, VAFirst published in the UK and USA in 2003 by Earthscan Publications LtdReprinted 2004 Copyright Colin Mason, 2003 All rights reservedISBN: 1-84407-018-2 Typesetting by MapSet Ltd, Gateshead, UKPrinted and bound in the UK by Creative Print and Design (Wales), Ebbw ValeCover design by Ruth BatesonFor a full list of publications please contact:Earthscan 8 12 Camden High Street, London, NW1 0JH, UKTel: +44 (0)20 7387 8558 Fax: +44 (0)20 7387 8998 Email: Quicksilver Drive, Sterling, VA 20166-2012, USAE arthscan publishes in association with WWF-UK and the InternationalInstitute for Environment and DevelopmentAcatalogue record for this book is available from the British LibraryLibrary of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication DataMason, Colin, 1926-The 2030 SPIKE : countdown to global catastrophe / Colin bibliographical references and 1-84407-018-2 (hbk.)

There is considerable evidence for the 2030 spike – the combined effect of at least six adverse drivers. The most reliable estimates set readily available oil resources at a little under a trillion barrels, and world consumption at 28 billion barrels a year, indicating exhaustion in, at most, 34 years. Predicted increases in oil use

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