Transcription of UBS House view
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UBS House view
UBS House viewMonthly Base August 2018 Chief Investment Office GWMP ublishedJul 19 2018 This report was prepared by UBS see the important disclaimer at the end of the document is a snapshot view . We update the tactical asset allocationas changes occur and resend it to subscribers. For all other forecasts andinformation, we advise you to check the Investment Views section in your E-Banking or in further information please contact Head CIO Global Asset Allocation Andreas J Koester, or CIO asset class specialists Philipp Sch ttler, or Carolina Corvalan, Financial Market Outlook short term Earnings expectations still advancingNet earnings revision ratio MSCI ACWorld, 3mma-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%201020112012201 320142015201620172018 NetearningsrevisionratioMSCIACW orld,3mmaSource: Thomson Reuters, UBS, July 17 2018 TWDJPY: a better hedge againstglobal/US equity market volatility, negative correlation with VIX,compared to (USDJPYvsVIX,30wrollingperiod)Weeklycorr elation(TWDJPYvsVIX,30wrollingperiod)Sou rce.
CIO themes in focus Alternative investments • Navigating rising US rates with hedge funds The US Federal Reserve has started to hike interest rates. Historically, most hedge fund strategies have been resilient to rising rates, while high grade bonds have performed poorly.
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