Omicron US Scenario analysis
In this extreme scenario, we project a wave that peaks on February 3, 2022, with cases, hospital admissions, and deaths reaching levels that are 2.2 (95% CrI: 1.3-3.2), 1.8 (95% CrI: 1.2-2.5), and 1.2 (95% CrI: 0.8-1.5) times higher than the January 2021 peak. Under an optimistic scenario in which Omicron is 50% more transmissible than Delta,
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Omicron US Scenario analysis
covid-19.tacc.utexas.edumi l der O mi cron surge t hat peaks i n January 18, 2022 wi t h cases, hospi t al admi ssi ons, and deat hs reachi ng l evel s t hat are 0. 92 (95% CrI : 0. 41-1. 61), 0. 57 (95% CrI : 0. 28-0. 98), 0. 46 (95% CrI : 0. 32-0. 64) t i mes t he t he January 2021 peak.
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