Prologue - University of Chicago
LECTURE 5: BROWNIAN MOTION 1. Prologue We have seen in previous lectures that, for discrete multiperiod markets which admit no …
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Bernoulli Distribution - University of Chicago
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MARKOV CHAINS: BASIC THEORY - University of Chicago
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galton.uchicago.edupost- y process is just an independent simple random walk started at y. But (10) (with the roles of x,y reversed) implies that this random walk must eventually visit x. When this happens, the random walk restarts again, so it will go back to y, and so on. Thus, by an easy induction argu-ment (see Corollary 14 below): Theorem 4.
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CONDITIONAL EXPECTATION AND MARTINGALES
galton.uchicago.educonditional expectations behave like ordinary expectations, with random quantities that are functions of the conditioning random variable being treated as constants.2 Let Y be a random variable, vector, or object valued in a measurable space, and let X be an integrable random variable (that is, a random variable with EjXj˙1).
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BROWNIAN MOTION - Department of Statistics
galton.uchicago.eduMany stochastic processes behave, at least for long stretches of time, like random walks with small but frequent jumps. The argument above suggests that such processes will look, at least approximately, and on the appropriate time scale, like Brownian motion. Second, it suggests that many important “statistics” of the random walk will have lim-
CONDITIONAL EXPECTATION AND MARTINGALES
galton.uchicago.eduadapted sequence of integrable real-valued random variables, that is, a sequence with the prop-erty that for each n the random variable Xn is measurable relative to Fn and such that EjXnj˙ 1. The sequence X0,X1,... is said to be a martingale relative to the filtration {Fn}n‚0 if it is adapted and if for every n, (1) E(Xn¯1 jFn) ˘ Xn.
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