CONVERGENCE RATES OF MARKOV CHAINS
Markov chains for which the convergence rate is of particular interest: (1) the random-to-top shuffling model and (2) the Ehrenfest urn model. Along the way we will encounter a number of fundamental concepts and techniques, notably reversibility, total variation distance, and
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MARKOV CHAINS: BASIC THEORY - University of Chicago
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BROWNIAN MOTION - Department of Statistics
galton.uchicago.eduMany stochastic processes behave, at least for long stretches of time, like random walks with small but frequent jumps. The argument above suggests that such processes will look, at least approximately, and on the appropriate time scale, like Brownian motion. Second, it suggests that many important “statistics” of the random walk will have lim-
CONDITIONAL EXPECTATION AND MARTINGALES
galton.uchicago.eduadapted sequence of integrable real-valued random variables, that is, a sequence with the prop-erty that for each n the random variable Xn is measurable relative to Fn and such that EjXnj˙ 1. The sequence X0,X1,... is said to be a martingale relative to the filtration {Fn}n‚0 if it is adapted and if for every n, (1) E(Xn¯1 jFn) ˘ Xn.
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galton.uchicago.eduMARKOV CHAINS: BASIC THEORY 3 Definition 2. A nonnegative matrix is a matrix with nonnegative entries. A stochastic matrix is a square nonnegative matrix all of whose row sums are 1. A substochastic matrix is a square nonnegative matrix all of whose row sums are 1.