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Economics Program Working Paper Series
www.conference-board.orgEconomics Program Working Paper Series Using a Leading Credit Index to Predict Turning Points in the U.S. Business Cycle Gad Levanon Jean-Claude Manini Ataman Ozyildirim Brian Schaitkin Jennelyn Tanchua The Conference Board ... Economics, Vol. 45, No. 1, 2010, pp. 16–27.
Economics Program Working Paper Series
www.conference-board.orgaside (which is discussed in the working paper mentioned above), our recommendations affect the following leading indicators (1) Manufacturing New Orders for (non-defense) Capital Goods, (2) ISM Index of Supplier Deliveries and, (3) Consumer Expectations.