平成27年度 エネルギー需給緩和型インフラ・システム普及等 …

1 27 .. 28 2 .. AGRAC Agusan Greenfield Resources Agrotech . Corporation . ANECO Agusan del Norte Electric Cooperative . ASEAN Association of South East Asian Nations . BOI The Board of Investment . BSP Bangko Sentral ng Philipinas . B/C Benefit / Cost . CNC Certification of Non-Coverage . DENR Department of Environment and Natural . Resources DOA Department of Agriculture . DOE Department of Energy . ECA Environmentally Critical Area . ECC Environmental Compliance Certificates . ECP Environmentally Critical Project . EIA Environmental Impact Assessment . EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return . EIS Environmental Impact Statement . EMB Environmental Management Bureau . EPCC Equi-Parco Construction Company . FS Feasibility Study . FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return . FIT Feed-in Tariff . GDP Gross Domestic Product . GOCC Government Owned and Controlled . Corporation HRMC Hydro Resources Management and . Consultancy Inc. IEE Initial Environmental Examination . IMF International Monetary Fund.

2 IPP Independent Power Producer . IRR Internal Rate of Return . JBIC Japan Bank for International Cooperation . JCM Joint Crediting Mechanism . JETRO Japan External Trade Organization . JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency .. MIFL Moro Islamic Liberation Front . MinDa Mindanao Development Authority . NEDA National Economic and Development . Authority NEDO New Energy and Industrial Technology . Development Organization . NFA National Food Authority . NIPAS National Integrated Protected Areas System . NSCB National Statistical Coordination Board . NSO National Statistics Office . NGCP National Grid Corporation of the Philippines . NPC National Power Corporation . NPV Net Present Value . O&M Operation & Maintenance . PCA Philippine Coconut Authority . PD Project Description . PEISS Philippine Environmental Impact Statement . System PEZA Philippine Economic Zone Authority . PPA Power Purchase Agreement . PPA Philippine Ports Authority . PSA Philippine Statistics Authority . SPC Special Purpose Company.

3 THRC Twinpeak Hydro Resources Corporation .. 1 .. 1. 2 .. 2. 3 .. 4. 4 .. 7. 5 .. 8. 6 .. 10. 7 .. 12. 8 .. 14. 1 . 1 .. 1-1. 1 .. 1-1. 2 .. 1-1. 3 .. 1-2. 4 .. 1-3. 5 .. 1-3. 6 .. 1-3. 2 .. 1-5. 1 .. 1-5. 2 .. 1-7. 3 .. 1-9. 3 .. 1-10. 1 .. 1-10. 2 .. 1-11. 3 .. 1-12. 4 .. 1-12. 5 .. 1-12. 6 .. 1-12. 2 . 1 .. 2-1. 2 .. 2-3. 3 .. 2-4. 3 . 1 .. 3-1. 1 .. 3-1. 2 .. 3-1. 3 .. 3-4. 2 .. 3-6. 1 .. 3-6. a) . b) . c) . 2 .. 3-10. a) . b) . c) . d) . e) . f) . 3 .. 3-23. a) . b) . 4 .. 3-24. a) . b) . c) . d) . 3 .. 3-31. 1 .. 3-31. 2 .. 3-31. 3 .. 3-32. 4 .. 3-33. 5 .. 3-35. 4 .. 3-36. 1 .. 3-36. a) . b) . c) . 2 .. 3-38. 5 .. 3-40. 1 .. 3-40. 2 .. 3-45.. 1 .. 4-1. 1 .. 4-1. a . b . c . 2 .. 4-5. 2 .. 4-6. 1 CO2 .. 4-6. a CO2 . b CO2 . c CO2 . d) CO2 . 2 CO2 .. 4-8. a . b . c . 3 .. 4-10. 3 .. 4-10. 1 .. 4-10. 2 .. 4-13. a . b . c . d) . e) . 4 .. 4-15. 1 .. 4-15. 2 .. 4-16. 3 .. 4-17. 5 .. 4-18. 5 . 1 .. 5-1. 1 .. 5-1. 2 .. 5-1. 2 .. 5-2. 1 .. 5-2. 2 .. 5-2. 3 .. 5-3. 4 .. 5-5. 5 .. 5-7.

4 6 . 7 . 1 .. 7-1. 2 .. 7-2. 8 . 1 .. 8-1. 2 .. 8-2. 3 .. 8-3. 9 . 1 .. 9-1. 2 .. 9-4. (3 .. 9-5. 1 .. 9-5. 2 .. 9-6. 3 .. 9-8. 10 . 1 .. 10-1. 1 .. 10-1. 2 .. 10-2. 3 .. 10-2. 2 10-4. 1 .. 10-4. 2 .. 10-6. 3 .. 10-7. 4 .. 10-8.. 1 ..7. 2 ..7. 3 ..14. 1-1-1 2000 2020 ..1-4. 1-1-2 2015 ..1-4. 1-1-3 ..1-5. 1-2-1 MW ..1-6. 1-2-2 ..1-6. 1-2-3 MW ..1-7. 1-2-4 ..1-8. 1-2-5 ..1-9. 1-3-1 ..1-11. 2-2-1 ..2-3. 3-1-1 MW ..3-1. 3-1-2 ..3-2. 3-1-3 ..3-3. 3-1-4 ..3-4. 3-2-1 ..3-13. 3-2-2 25 ..3-14. 3-2-3 ..3-15. 3-2-4 ..3-17. 3-2-5 ..3-27. 3-3-1 ..3-31. 3-3-2 ..3-32. 3-3-3 ..3-33. 3-2-4 ..3-34. 3-5-1 ..3-42. 3-5-2 ..3-44. 3-5-3 ..3-46. 4-1-1 ..4-1. 4-1-2 ..4-2. 4-1-3 ..4-3. 4-1-4 ..4-4.. 1 ..2. 2 ..3. 3 ..3. 4 ..4. 5 ..5. 6 ..8. 7 ..12. 8 ..12. 9 ..13. 10 ..13. 1-1-1 ..1-1. 1-1-2 ..1-2. 1-1-3 ..1-2. 1-1-4 GDP ..1-3. 1-1-5 ..1-3. 1-2-1 ..1-7. 1-3-1 ..1-12. 2-3-1 ..2-4. 2-3-2 ..2-5. 3-1-1 ( : ) ..3-3. 3-2-1 ..3-6. 3-2-2 ..3-7. 3-2-3 ..3-9. 3-2-4 ..3-11. 3-2-5 ..3-11. 3-2-6 ..3-12. 3-2-7 X ..3-12.)

5 3-2-8 ..3-13. 3-2-9 ..3-14. 3-2-10 ..3-15. 3-2-11 ..3-16. 3-2-12 ..3-18. 3-2-13 ..3-18. 3-2-14 ..3-19. 3-2-15 ..3-19. 3-2-16 ..3-20. 3-2-17 ..3-23. 3-2-18 ..3-25. 3-2-19 ..3-26. 3-2-20 ..3-30. 3-3-1 ..3-34. 3-4-1 ..3-36. 3-5-1 ..3-41. 3-5-2 ..3-42. 3-5-3 ..3-43. 3-5-4 ..3-43. 3-5-5 ..3-45. 3-5-6 ..3-46. 4-1-1 ..4-1. 4-2-1 ..4-6. 4-2-2 CO2 ..4-10. 4-3-1 JICA 5..4-10. 4-4-1 ..4-15. 4-4-2 ..4-17. 4-4-3 ..4-17. 5-1-1 ..5-1. 5-1-2 ..5-1. 5-2-1 ..5-2. 5-2-2 ..5-3. 5-2-3 ..5-3. 5-2-4 ..5-4. 5-2-5 5-4. 5-2-6 ..5-5. 5-2-7 5-6. 5-2-8 ..5-7. 5-2-9 ..5-8. 5-2-10 ..5-8. 5-2-11 ..5-9. 5-2-12 ..5-9. 6-1-1 ..6-1. 6-1-2 ..6-1. 7-1-1 ..7-1. 7-2-1 ..7-2. 9-1-1 NEDO ..9-1. 9-1-2 ..9-2. 9-3-1 ..9-5. 9-3-2 ..9-6. 9-3-3 ..9-7. 9-3-4 ..9-7. 9-3-5 ..9-8. 9-3-6 ..9-8. 9-3-7 ..9-9. 9-3-8 ..9-9. 10-1-1 ..10-1. 10-1-2 ..10-2. 10-2-1 ..10-4. 10-2-2 ANECO ..10-6.. 3-2-1 -1 ..3-7. 3-2-2 -2 ..3-7. 3-2-3 ..3-8. 3-2-4 ..3-8. 3-2-5 ..3-9. 3-2-6 ..3-9. 3-2-7 ..3-10. 3-2-8 ..3-10. 3-2-9 ..3-10. 3-2-10 ..3-25. 3-2-11.

6 3-26. 3-2-12 ..3-26. 3-2-13 ..3-28. 3-2-14 ..3-28. 3-2-15 ..3-29. 3-2-16 ..3-29. 3-3-1 ..3-32. 3-3-2 ..3-35. 4-1-1 ..4-3. 4-1-2 ..4-4. 4-1-3 ..4-5. 10-1-1 ..10-3.. 1 142 2015 1 40.. 2013 2014 .. 2014 . 11,822MW Luzon 8,717MW (Visayas)1,636MW . (Mindanao)1,469MW 2015 2030 .. MILF 2014 3. 27 .. Japan International Cooperation Agency . JICA 2015 8 25 .. 336 8900 2 .. 2015 11 19 . 3 .. 147 8,400 .. Butuan Caraga, Region XIII .. 1.. National Economic and Development Authority . NEDA (2011-2016) MEDIUM-TERM PHILIPPINE. DEVELOPMENT PLAN . 2011-2016 REVISED CARAGA REGIONAL. DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2013-2016 .. 1) .. 1 .. 3,000kcal/kg .. 53,000ha .. 3,500kcal/kg .. 40 20 8 / .. 80 . 20 . 3,500 4,000kcal/kg .. 2. 2) .. 2 .. 12,000 /.. 70,000 / .. 50km 7,000 / .. /kg 50km 10,000 / .. 3) .. 3 .. 20 . 50 . 53,000ha 13 . 10 13MW .. 10,000 . 18,000 . 3.. 800 .. 13,000 / . 1 =170kg = 17. /kg . 81 .. 4) .. 4 . EPCC THRC .. 1) .. 2 . 4 .. Agusan Greenfield Resources Agrotech Corporation AGRAC .. 12,000.

7 4.. EPCC THRC AGRAC 50 50 .. (Department of Energy DOE ) . Department of Agriculture . DA .. 3 20 . Feed-in Tariff FIT .. 298 . 5 .. 7,000 .. EPCC THRC 50 50 .. DENR .. FSC .. 5.. 4 20 .. 145 88 . 2) .. Financial Internal Rate of Return . FIRR . Economic Internal Rate of Return EIRR . Net Present Value NPV Cost Benefit Ratio . B/C . Internal Rate of Return IRR .. IRR=7% . -3 .. 3) .. ECP .. ECA REVISED GUIDELINES FOR. COVERAGE SCREENING AND STANDARDIZED REQUIREMENTS (EMB MC 2004-05) . D . PD CNC . 4,000 D .. 6.. ( ) Feasibility Study FS 12 . ( ) Special Purpose Company SPC . 3 . ( ) 12 . ( ) 12 . ( ) 6 . 1 . 1 2 3 .. 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12. FS .. FS 15 . SPC 3 . 12 . 18 . 6 . 2 . 1 2 3 4 .. 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12 3 6 9 12. FS .. 7.. 1) .. IRR .. IRR=7% .. -3) .. EIRR .. GHG . CO2 20 . JCM . JCM 50 .. 20 .. EIRR .. 2) . 6 .. O&M . 6 .. EPCC SPC .. SPC .. 8.. THRC SPC . SPC . AGRAC .. AGRAC SPC .. 2016 .. 5 . 26 9,700.. 7,000 .. 3) .. 25 35 . 15 25 .. 9.. 15 20% .. 25 .. 1).

8 10. 2) . NEDO .. 3) .. GHG.. JCM Joint Crediting Mechanism .. JCM .. JCM .. 11.. 1) .. 7 .. 28 .. 29 SPC .. 30 .. 31 .. 8 .. 28 .. 29 SPC .. 30 .. 31 .. 2) .. 12. 9 .. 10 .. 2 .. 10 .. 13.. 3 .. 14. 1 .. 1960 1990 1992 . Ramos 2010 5 . 3 Benigno Aquino . Gross Domestic Product . GDP 2012 2013 2014 . 2011 2012 2013. 3 5 .. 1-1-1 .. 1-1-1 . 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 . GDP 199,591 224,143 250,092 271,928 284,618. GDP GDP 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, . / . 73,594 75,569 79,949 78,489 77,674. GDP International Monetary Fund IMF . World Economic Outlook Database October 2015. Bangko Sentral ng Philipinas BSP . 2015 12 31 Association of South East Asian Nations . ASEAN ASEAN . ASEAN . BBB . 2016 .. 5 1,000 . 1-1. 1-1-2 . 2013 35 .. 51 . 2013 ( ) ( ) ( ) . 13% ( ) ( ) .. 1-1-2 . 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 . 51,541 48,316 52,072 53,928 61,932. 54,932 60,495 62,128 61,832 64,530. -11,096 -13,866 -12,745 -10,648 -12,753. 62,373 75,302 83,831 83,187 79,541. BSP .. 2014 1,869 2012 2013. 2 .. ( ) . ( ) ( ) ( ).

9 ( ) ( ) 1-1-3 . 1-1-3 . ( ). 2013 2014 . 77, 109, 6, 15, 74, 6, 24, 29, 3, 4, 7, 88, 25, 5, 2, 55, 6, 274, 186, National Statistical Coordination Board NSCB . 1-2.. GDP 50 3 . 23 . 12 . 5 1-1-4 . 1-1-4 GDP. ( ). 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 . 344,347 364,944 378,350 406,010 444,058. 34,583 27,307 25,866 25,521 26,294. 603,467 628,013 661,876 750,634 836,065. 70,883 75,098 84,867 88,626 91,500. 122,876 138,840 168,849 182,537 223,390. 1,353,449 1,489,056 1,642,343 1,803,214 1,953,543. 2,529,605 2,723,257 2,962,195 3,256,542 3,574,849. BSP GDP .. 2000 2010. 2012 2013 (GDP ) . 2014 (GDP ) 1-1-5 . 2015 .. 1-1-5 . ( . 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 . 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, .. 1 142 2015 . 2014 Mexico 12 . 2050 5,700 16 . 10 1-1-1 . 40 . ( . 1-3. 1-1-2). 1-1-1 2000 2020 . IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2015 . 2014 2015 . 1-1-2 2015 . , World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision . 2015 . (49 ) . 23 2011 4,000.. 20 . ( 1-1-3). 1-4. 1-1-3 . National Statistics Office NSO.)

10 1 .. 2014 11,822MW . 8,717MW 1,636MW 1,469MW 1-2-1 2015 2030.. Moro Islamic Liberation Front MILF . 2014 3 27 .. 2014 12 2,210MW . 1,851MW . 1-2-2 . 9 . 10 1-2-3 . 6 600MW . Mindanao Development Authority MinDA . 2014 . 23 . 1-5. 1-2-1 MW . 25,000. 20,000. 15,000. 10,000. 5,000. 0. 2013 2014 2015 2020 2025 2030 . 1,428 1,469 1,657 2,068 2,592 3,250. 1,572 1,636 1,799 2,237 2,759 3,431. 8,305 8,717 8,892 10,693 13,274 16,477. DOE 2013 Supply-Demand Outlook . 2014 2015 DOE . 1-2-2 .. 2,210MW 1,851MW.. DOE 2014 12 . 1-6. 1-2-3 MW . 300. 200. 100. 0. -100. -200. -300. -400. -500. -600. -700. 1:00. 2:00. 3:00. 4:00. 5:00. 6:00. 7:00. 8:00. 9:00. 0:00. 10:00. 11:00. 12:00. 13:00. 14:00. 15:00. 16:00. 17:00. 18:00. 19:00. 20:00. 21:00. 22:00. 23:00. 1 8 1 9 1 10 1 22 1 25 . National Statistical Coordination Board NGCP .. - .. 1-2-1 1-2-4 . 5, (Circuit Kilometer) . 3,317 MVA . 1-2-5 .. Agusan del Norte Electric Cooperative ANECO 2014 . 2, 120,336 57,240kW . 271,003, National Power Corporation NPC 27,950kW Independent Power Producer.