FORESIGHT AFRICA

1 FORESIGHT . AFRICA . top priorities for the continent in 2022. EDITOR Rebecca Klege WITH SPECIAL THANKS. Holger A. Kray Aloysius Uche Ordu Jeanine Mabunda Lioko Esther Rosen Max Mendez-Parra Jeannine Ajello ASSOCIATE EDITOR Greg Mills Brookings Institution Communications Team Aloysius Uche Ordu Christina Golubski Laura N. Naliaka DESIGN. Tara Nathan AUTHORS Mthuli Ncube Bitenge Ndemo Rogaia Abusharaf Jean-Baptiste Nikiema Adedeji Peter Adeniran Amara Nwankpa ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. Olubukola S. Adesina Chiedo Nwankwor Olusoji Adeyi Chidi Victor Nweneka The Brookings Institution is a nonprofit Yvonne Aki-Sawyerr Marie-Noelle Nwokolo organization devoted to independent Ayotola Aremu Mike Ogbalu III research and policy solutions.

2 Its Amar Bhattacharya Una Osili mission is to conduct high-quality, Makhtar Diop Sarah Pantuliano independent research and, based on that Tolu Disu Mohamed Ali Pate research, to provide innovative, practical Simeon Ehui Kanta Kumari Rigaud recommendations for policymakers Ellen Johnson Sirleaf James Robinson and the public. The conclusions and Adefunke Ekine Alexa Roscoe recommendations of any Brookings Obiageli Ezekwesili Jamal Saghir publication are solely those of its Vanda Felbab-Brown Vera Songwe author(s), and do not reflect the views Raymond Gilpin Michel Sidib of the Institution, its management, or its Lesly Goh Joseph Siegle other scholars. Buhle Goslar Landry Sign . Ameenah Gurib-Fakim Ifeyinwa Ugochukwu Brookings gratefully acknowledges the Christian Happi Tarik Yousef program support provided by the Bill &.

3 Soeren J. Henn Melinda Gates Foundation. Hakainde Hichilema AGI TEAM. Ede Ijjasz-Vasquez Brookings recognizes that the value it Chakib Jenane Chris Heitzig provides is in its commitment to quality, Anne Njambi Kabugi Leo Holtz independence, and impact. Activities Stephen Karingi Tamara White supported by its donors reflect this Winnie Kiiza commitment. FORESIGHT . AFRICA . top priorities for the continent in 2022. Table of contents 01 02 03. AFRICA 's economic recovery: Financing robust post-pandemic Public health: Ensuring equal access and self- sufficiency _____ 24. African women and girls: Leading a continent _____ 46. growth _____ 6 The art of the pivot: African Reimagining the future women as critical problem AFRICA 's pandemic recovery of health in AFRICA _____ 26 solvers in the 21st century _____ 48.

4 Requires investments that build the foundation for the region's Vaccine inequity: Ensuring It is not yet Uhuru for the women future _ _____ 8 AFRICA is not left out _____ 31 of Uganda _____ 52. Zambia's success will be Paying for the malaria vaccine: The women of Sudan will not AFRICA 's success _____ 12 Will AFRICA take responsibility? _ _ 33 accept setbacks _____ 54. AFRICA 's youth are already Strategies for financing AFRICA 's Making the future of African leading the way to economic health sector _ _____ 35 STEM female _____ 56. success _____ 14. The future of vaccine Strategies for advancing African Investment in science manufacturing in AFRICA _____ 39 women in academia _ _____ 60. and technology is key to an African economic boom ___ 15 AFRICA 's just energy transition Women and e-commerce could boost health outcomes ___ 41 in AFRICA : The $15 billion Addressing Zimbabwe's opportunity _____ 62.

5 Inflation: The role of the What's next for R&D. digitalization of financial in health for AFRICA ? _____ 44 Priorities for advancing women's transactions _____ 17 equal political leadership in the How strengthened political coming year _____ 64. AFRICA 's latent assets _____ 18 engagement can lead to improved health outcomes in Philanthropy plays a vital AFRICA _____ 45. role in meeting development challenges and mitigating crises in sub-Saharan AFRICA _____ 20. Managing COVID-19 response public resources with accountability in AFRICA _ _____ 23. 2. 04 05 06. Climate change: Tackling a global challenge _____ 66. Technological innovations: Creating and harnessing tools AFRICA 's external relations: Reinventing and pursuing new From COP26 (Glasgow) to for improved partnerships _____ 102.

6 COP27 (Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt): livelihoods _____ 82. What to expect at AFRICA 's COP __ 68 The tips of the butterfly: Linking Harnessing technology and East Asia and AFRICA _ _____ 104. Climate migration deepening innovation for a better future our solution _____ 71 in AFRICA : Policy priorities for The future of India- AFRICA enabling the AFRICA we want' ____ 84 relations: Opportunities Addressing AFRICA 's dual abound _____ 112. challenges: Climate change and Boosting the AfCFTA: The role electricity access _____ 73 of the Pan-African Payment and Deepening Gulf engagement Settlement System _ _____ 88 with sub-Saharan AFRICA _ _____ 115. The urgency and benefits of climate adaptation for AFRICA 's AFRICA needs smarter The future of Russia- AFRICA agriculture and food security ____ 75 investment in digital relations _____ 117.

7 Infrastructure: Strategies for Managing existential risk and enticing the private sector _____ 89 UK AFRICA relations: The need climate resilience: The case of for an urgent reset _____ 119. Nigeria _ _____ 76 The private sector must do its part on data governance in A slim hope for negotiating a The criticality of climate finance AFRICA _____ 92 settlement to the Tigray conflict for AFRICA _____ 78 in Ethiopia _____ 120. AFRICA and the future of digital The view from Freetown, Sierra diplomacy _____ 94. Leone _ _____ 81. The role of cryptocurrencies in sub-Saharan AFRICA _____ 96. Developing an effective data governance framework to deliver African digital potentials _____ 100. 3. Letter from the director Two years in, the COVID-19 pandemic continues to dominate every narrative regarding the global economy.

8 The future of trade, migration, travel, supply chains, economic growth, education, innovation, etc., in AFRICA and elsewhere remains constrained by the uneven recovery from this virus. Returning to normal will require a truly global effort to reduce and mitigate the devastation COVID-19 has had and is continuing to have on the human and financial health of countries. Instead, we have witnessed the emergence of a parallel but diverging world: The rich and vaccinated and the poor and unvaccinated. AFRICA remains among the latter: As of this writing, of its billion people, less than 11 percent have been fully vaccinated. Moreover, the region is being left even further behind during the global economic recovery.

9 This divergence in vaccination rates, the intensification of fiscal pressures, increased debt levels, and uneven economic recovery were major themes for the continent in 2021. ALOYSIUS UCHE. ORDU These themes compound the complex challenges the region was already facing, including burgeoning youth unemployment, inadequate infrastructure, and the ravages of climate Senior Fellow and Director, change. While the pandemic forced leaders to recognize that the best way to address AFRICA Growth Initiative, these problems is to promote healthy economic growth, we are in danger of falling back to Global Economy and Development, Bookings insufficient or even ineffective development strategies and returning to the status quo.

10 Institution Despite these obstacles, there are reasons to be cautiously optimistic about AFRICA 's @aloysiusordu future. While the region's traditional powerhouses , Angola, Nigeria, and South AFRICA as well as Ethiopia will continue to struggle in the year ahead, the International Monetary Fund forecasts strong growth for sub-Saharan AFRICA overall in fact, percent for 2022. Notably, medium-sized economies such as Ghana, C te d'Ivoire, Kenya, and the democratic Republic of the congo will take up the slack with growth rates above 6 percent While the as high commodity prices and government reforms improve finances. Smaller countries pandemic forced such as the Seychelles, Rwanda, Mauritius, and Niger will also reach record-high growth leaders to rates in 2022.