Ipsos Poll Core Political Data

1 Ipsos IpsosCore Political DataIpsos Poll1 IpsosDecember 17, 2021 2021 rights reserved. Contains Ipsos ' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos . Ipsos2 Ipsos PollCore Political DataThese are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted December 15-17, sample of 1,004 Americans ages 18+wereThis included 421 Democrats,374 Republicans, and 126independentsThe precision of the Reuters/ Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus the following percentage points: All Adults, Democrats, Republicans, and independentsinterviewed online for this survey.

2 The data from this survey was weighted to the current population data using Gender, Age, Education, Ethnicity, and Region Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent Where figures do not sum to 100, this is because of roundingFor more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix Ipsos3 All Adult AmericansMost Important Problem Facing AmericaIn your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the today?

3 5%8%2%2%3%4%4%4%6%8%9%9%12%23%Don't knowOtherEnergy issuesWar and foreign conflictsEducationMoralityTerrorism and extremismInequality and discriminationImmigrationHealth care systemEnvironment and climateCrime or corruptionPublic health, disease, and illnessEconomy, unemployment, and jobs* Starting with 2/4/21 wave, system was added to Healthcare , extremism was added to Terrorism , and corruption was added to Crime . Public health, disease, and illness and Inequality and discrimination were added as new issues. Economy, generally and Unemployment/lack of jobs were combined to create Economy, unemployment, and jobs Ipsos4 All Adult AmericansMost Important Problem Facing AmericaIn your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the today?

4 0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%100%500%900%13 00%1700%2100%2500%2900%3300%3700%4100%45 00%4900%5300%5700%6100%6500%6900%7300%77 00%8100%8500%8900%9300%9700%10100%10500% 10900%11300%11700%12100%12500%12900%1330 0%13700%14100%14500%14900%15300%15700%16 100%16500%16900%17300%17700%18100%18500% 18900%19300%19700%20100%20500%20900%2130 0%21700%22100%22500%22900%23300%23700%24 100%24500%24900%25300%25700%26100%26500% 26900%27300%27700%28100%28500%28900%2930 0%29700%30100%30500%30900%31300%31700%32 100%32500%32900%33300%33700%34100%34500% 34900%35300%35700%36100%36500%36900%3730 0%37700%38100%38500%38900%39300%39700%40 100%40500%40900%41300%41700%42100%42500% 42900%43300%43700%44100%44500%44900%4530 0%45700%46100%46500%46900%47300%47700%48 100%48500%48900%49300%49700%50100%50500% 50900%51300%51700%52100%52500%2014 Environment and ClimateCrime or corruptionPublic HealthEconomy, unemployment, and jobs20122013201520162018201920202021*Pri or to February 2021, Economy, generally and Unemployment/lack of jobs were asked separately, results on chart displaythe sum of both issues through that date.

5 Have since been combined to create Economy, unemployment, and jobs . Other changes include system being added to healthcare , and Inequality and discrimination and "Public health, disease, and illness were added as new Ipsos5 By Party IDMost Important Problem Facing AmericaIn your opinion, what is the most important problem facing the today?DemocratsRepublicansIndependentsEc onomy, unemployment, and jobs17%28%28%War and foreign conflicts1%3%4%Immigration2%13%3%Terrori sm and extremism5%4%7%Healthcare system11%5%5%Public health, disease, and illness17%7%16%Energy issues2%2%0%Morality2%7%4%Education4%3%2 %Crime or corruption7%12%9%Environment and climate14%4%9%Inequality and discrimination8%1%3%Other8%10%4%Don t know4%3%7%* Starting with 2/4/21 wave, system was added to Healthcare , extremism was added to Terrorism , and corruption was added to Crime.

6 Public health, disease, and illness and Inequality and discrimination were added as new issues. Economy, generally and Unemployment/lack of jobs were combined to create Economy, unemployment, and jobs Ipsos6 All Adult AmericansJoe Biden s Weekly ApprovalOverall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as President (previously president-elect)?48%46%20212020 Total DisapproveTotal Approve Ipsos7 By Party IDPartisan Biden ApprovalOverall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling his job as President (previously president-elect)?81%17%39%DemocratsRepub licansIndependents20212020 Ipsos8 All Adult AmericansWhat Biden s Priorities Should beWhat do you want Joe Biden to prioritize?

7 Choose the top 2 issues that are most important to you (% Yes)4%3%10%10%11%15%16%16%21%30%42%Other International TradeTaxationCorruptionRacial InequalityThe EnvironmentUnifying The CountryImmigrationEmployment And JobsCoronavirus/Covid-19 The Economy Ipsos9 By Party IDWhat Biden s Priorities Should beWhat do you want Joe Biden to prioritize? Choose the top 2 issues that are most important to you (% Yes)DemocratsRepublicansIndependentsThe economy32%56%46%Employment and jobs20%22%21%International trade4%2%4%Taxation8%12%8%Corruption9%10 %16%The environment23%6%16%Immigration7%31%9%Uni fying the country18%13%19%Coronavirus/COVID-1942%1 6%32%Racial Inequality16%5%7%Other3%5%2%The economyEmployment and jobsInternational tradeTaxationCorruptionThe environmentImmigrationUnifying the countryCoronavirus/COVID-19 Racial InequalityOtherDemocratsRepublicansIndep endents Ipsos10 All Adult AmericansApproval of Biden s Handling of the Country s IssuesDo you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is

8 Handling the following issues? (Total Approval) 36%41%41%42%43%45%46%48%51%53%Corruption ImmigrationTaxationInternational TradeThe EconomyUnifying The CountryRacial InequalityEmployment And JobsThe EnvironmentCoronavirus/Covid-19 Ipsos11 By Party IDApproval of Biden s Handling of the Country s IssuesDo you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling the following issues? (Total Approval) The EconomyEmployment And JobsInternational TradeTaxationCorruptionThe EnvironmentImmigrationUnifying The CountryCoronavirus/Covid-19 Racial InequalityDemocratsRepublicansIndependen tsDemocratsRepublicansIndependentsThe Economy69%19%38%Employment And Jobs75%22%46%International Trade67%17%40%Taxation65%19%34%Corruptio n57%18%30%The Environment74%28%54%Immigration65%19%35% Unifying The Country71%20%38%Coronavirus/Covid-1979%2 8%48%Racial Inequality71%23%44% Ipsos12 AppendixThe calculation of credibility intervals assumes that Yhas a binomial distribution conditioned on the parameter \.

9 Y| ~bin(n, ), where n is the size of our sample. In this setting, Ycounts the number of yes , or 1 , observed in the sample, so that the sample mean ( ) is a natural estimate of the true population proportion . This model is often called the likelihood function, and it is a standard concept in both the bayesianand the classical framework. The bayesian1statistics combines both the prior distribution and the likelihood function to create a posterior distribution. The posterior distribution represents our opinion about which are the plausible values for adjusted after observing the sampledata. In reality, theposterior distribution is one s knowledge base updated using the latest survey information.

10 For the prior and likelihood functions specified here, the posterior distribution is also a beta distribution ( ( )~ (y+a,n-y+b)), but with updated credibility interval for is based on this posterior distribution. As mentioned above, these intervals represent our beliefabout which are the most plausible values for given our updated knowledge base. There are different ways to calculate these intervals based on ( ). Since we want only one measure of precision for all variables in the survey, analogous to what is done within the classical framework, we will compute the largestpossible credibility interval for any observed sample.