단열선도 분석 및 활용 - kma.go.kr

1 / / / ( 26 ) ( skew T-log P diagram) , , , . , 3 , , .. 1) 2014 8 18 1 a) 18 3 , b) 850hPa ( ) a) ..a)b)c) 1. 2014. 8. 18. 03 (KST) a) ( : ), b) 850hPa , c) : : ( 1657) : 2014 9 12 ( ) 2. 2014. 8. 18. 03 (KST) ( ) , 850hPa 2 1 . , CAPE(Convective Available Potential Energy) . CAPE (LFC: Level of Free Convection) (EL: Equilibrium Level).

2 2 LFC , LFC . , TPW(Total Precipitable Water, ) 50 . , 150hPa 5 C , . , (veering) . , . 850hPa . 850hPa , 850hPa . 925~850hPa . , 850hPa (25kts ) . 150hPa , . 850hPa . ( ) , 2 . 8km 1 15km 2 . 3 .. (vertical front slop).

3 , .. 3 1 2 ( ) . 3. a)b) 4. 2014 8 21 09 (KST) a) b) AWS ( : ) 2) 2014 8 21 ( ) 4 2014 8 21 09 ( ) AWS . 20mm/h . b) , ( ) , .. 5 . CAPE , TPW . , , ~ . 1 8km , 13km 2 .. 5. 2014. 8. 21. 09 (KST) 2014 6 12 6 2014 6 12 2 5 .. 6 b) , CAPE 3041 , TPW.

4 C . , .. , . , . , , . , .. 500hPa 400hPa 10 C 500hPa -10 C ( 7 ). CAPE ( (LFC) ) . CAPE . (24 ).a)b) 6. a) 2014. 6. 12. 14 5 b) 15 (KST).

5 , . , . 7.. 2014. 5. 11. 15 , 2005. 3. 5. 15 , 1) 2014 5 11 ( ) 7 15 C, C . (LCL: Lifting Condensation Level) 16 C . 18 , 21 C . 95% . 2) 2005 3 5 7 15 C, C . (LCL) 0 C . 18 , 21 18 C, 21 C . 3 C . , 1 C.

6 , ( ) .. 8. 850~300hPa (x ) (a) (b) (Corfidi et al. 1996, Corfidi 2003) 8 850~300hPa . 850~300hPa . Bluestein and Jain(1985), Corfidi et al. (1996, 2003) 850~300hPa 700, 500hPa . , 850hPa 700hPa . 9 2014 8 25 . 1 .a) 9 b) 10 9. 2014 8 25 ( : 1 , : ) 10 a) (09 ) , . 850hPa 4km 1 . 4km 150hPa(14km) 2 ( ) . , TPW .. 10 b) 850hPa 700hPa.

7 9 700hPa . 850-700hPa 700hPa , 700hPa . Bluestein and Jain(1985), Robe and Emanuel(2001) 700hPa . (Backward Propagation) 850-700hPa .. , . , . a) b) 10. a) 2014 8 25 09 (KST) b) (Bluestein and Jain(1985), Robe and Emanuel(2001) ) 7 , 2011, 9 , 2011, 24 , 2014, Bluestein, H. B., and Jain, M. H. 1985: Formation of mesoscale lines of precipitation: severe squall lines in Oklahoma during the spring.

8 J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 1711-1732. Corfidi, S. F. 2003: Cold pools and MCS propagation: forecasting the motion of downwind-developing MCSs. Weather and Forecasting, 18, , S. F., Merritt, S. F., and Fritsch, J. M. 1996: Predicting the movement of mesoscale convective complexes. Weather and Forecasting, 11, , E. 1988: Weather forecasting: Rules, techniques and procedures. American press, Boston, , F. R., and Emanuel, K. A. 2001: The effect of vertical wind shear on radiative-convective equilibrium states. J. Atmos. Sci., 58, 1427-1445.