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Proof of Bayes Theorem

ProofofBayesTheoremThe probability of two events A and B happening, P(A B), is the probabilityof A, P(A), times the probability of B given that A has occurred, P(B|A).P(A B) =P(A)P(B|A)(1)On the other hand, the probability of A and B is also equal to the probabilityof B times the probability of A given (A B) =P(B)P(A|B)(2)Equating the two yields:P(B)P(A|B) =P(A)P(B|A)(3)and thusP(A|B) =P(A)P(B|A)P(B)(4)This equation, known as Bayes Theorem is the basis of statistical inference.

Proof of Bayes Theorem The probability of two events A and B happening, P(A∩B), is the probability of A, P(A), times the probability of B given that A has occurred, P(B|A).

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Transcription of Proof of Bayes Theorem

1 ProofofBayesTheoremThe probability of two events A and B happening, P(A B), is the probabilityof A, P(A), times the probability of B given that A has occurred, P(B|A).P(A B) =P(A)P(B|A)(1)On the other hand, the probability of A and B is also equal to the probabilityof B times the probability of A given (A B) =P(B)P(A|B)(2)Equating the two yields:P(B)P(A|B) =P(A)P(B|A)(3)and thusP(A|B) =P(A)P(B|A)P(B)(4)This equation, known as Bayes Theorem is the basis of statistical inference.


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