CHAPTER 4 TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY STUDY
4-1 CHAPTER 4 TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY STUDY Power demand Projection Male Island In the aftermath of the Tsunami disaster caused by Sumatra earthquake of December 2004, there has been steady migration of people from outer islands to Male Island and the demand for electricity here has increased rapidly. The latest power demand projection conducted by STELCO was the Power Extension STUDY that was conducted by German consultant OLP in 2004, and this made a forecast of peak demand on Male and Hulhumale Islands up to 2020. For Male Island, this STUDY estimated two scenarios: a high growth case and a low growth case; however, even in the low growth case, peak load is expected to exceed the firm capacity of generator facilities (the capacity obtained after deducting the largest generator capacity from the 85% of total rated capacity) in 2013, indicating an urgent need to reinforce generating facilities.
As in the case of Male’ Island, the latest demand projection (Figure 4.1.2-1) is the one that was implemented in 2004, however, because values from 2004 onwards are not reflected in this forecast, the Study Team conducted a separate demand projection involving analysis of peak power from 2004 to 2008.
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