Electric Vehicles: A future Projection

Electric Vehicles: A future Projection Interactive Qualifying Project From: Sotirios- Aris Papaioannou Submitted to: Professor Robert Thompson ABSTRACT This study examined necessary steps needed be achieved if all automobiles in California 2040 are replaced by Electric vehicles (EVs); pure Electric vehicles (PEVs) and plug-in hybrid Electric vehicles (PHEVs). The analysis was based on a ceteris paribus model where current data and trends were examined and forecasted for the year of 2040. Results showed that the electricity consumption of all Electric vehicles in 2040 amounts to 80% of the forecasted consumption statewide. California may reduce CO2 emissions by 40 million metric tons should this change in its automobile fleet is achieved. Approximately million public charging stations must be installed to accommodate this change and several power stations must be built to provide adequate electricity for the State s needs, but specific numbers depend upon several factors elaborated in this analysis.

Nationwide, about 10,000 publicly available EV chargers compete with about 114,000 gas stations, according to Department of Energy data. To provide adequate electricity to EV’s, a considerable amount of charging stations might need to be built, let alone power plants to support them. The current conditions, though, do not prevent

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