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ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP. 5 February 2018. Outline Summary Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Ni o Index (ONI). Pacific SST Outlook Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks Summary Summary ENSO Alert System Status : La Ni a Advisory La Ni a conditions are present.*. Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. La Ni a is likely (~85-95%) through Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral expected during the spring.

Recent Evolution and Current Conditions Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) Pacific SST Outlook U.S. Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Outlooks Summary Starting on Oct. 11, 2021, the weekly sea surface temperature data is based on OISSTv2.1 (Huang et al., 2021). This impacts slides #4-9. The source data is available at this link.

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