Transcription of Madden-Julian Oscillation: Recent Evolution, Current ...
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Madden-Julian Oscillation: Recent Evolution, Current ...
Madden-Julian Oscillation: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by the Climate Prediction Center Climate Prediction Center / NCEP. 29 June 2020. Overview A pair of Kelvin waves are currently circumnavigating the tropics and roughly 180 degrees out of phase, with one approaching the Date Line and another the Prime Meridian. There is some suggestion of a lower frequency intraseasonal signal over the Indian Ocean which may grow into a MJO event in conjunction with the Kelvin wave that is approaching the Prime Meridian. Model guidance supports a growing intraseasonal signal over the western Indian Ocean during the next week, with this feature pushing toward the eastern Indian Ocean by mid-July.
Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) Anomalies •The development of enhanced convection is evident to the east of the Date Line where strong Equatorial Rossby wave activity is analyzed in the OLR field. •The CFS favors the return of enhanced convection over the southern Indian Ocean and the Maritime Continent during the next two weeks. Green shades: Anomalous convection …
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