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Solutions tosome exercises from Bayesian Data Analysis ...
8.5 13.86 = 0.730 Pr(favorite wins by at least 8|point spread=8) = Φ 0.5 13.86 = 0.514 Pr(favorite wins by at least 8|point spread=8&favorite wins) = 0.514 0.730 = 0.70. Note: the values of 0.5 and 8.5 in the above calculations are corrections for the discreteness of scores (the score differential must be an integer).
Download Solutions tosome exercises from Bayesian Data Analysis ...
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