2016年2月29日 - JWPA 一般社団法人日本風力 ...

1 2016 2 JWPA Wind Vision report JWPA Wind Vision 1 No. 1 2 3 2014 6 JWPA 2030 2015 7 JWPA JWPA 1. 2. 3. 4. (1) (2) 0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50% IEA 2040 10 kW GDP 2015 12 COP21 World Energy Outlook 2015, IEA New Policy Scenario REN21 Renewables 2015 Global Status ReportGDP 2 1 4 14 9 5 11 6 8 7 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 19 + 10 2014 2014 kW12,00010,0008,0006,0004,0002,000+2.

2 320+490+530~0+230+170+190+100+10+250+20 2015 2040 2014 GDP 2040 2040 kW kW 3 2030 1,000 kW 2020 2015 kW 2016 1 kW 1,000 kW 2030 3,620 kW 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,00 0200020022004200620082010201220142016201 8202020222024202620282030203220342036203 8204020422044204620482050 [ ] kWh 201024824530432020 1,090 1,02060102302030 3,620 2,6605803808402040 6,590 3,800 1,500 1,290 1,6202050 7,500 3,800 1,900 1,800 1,880 kW 2015 kW 1,010 kW4 1,000 kW (1) ( ) 5 (2)

3 3,620 kW 2,660 JWPA 53 2030 22 24 270 kW 320 kW 2012 4 61506004220273285+4003+270+320 kW 2,660 kW HP 5964+48+25109+10 2020 2020 2030 8 9 /kWh 271 kW 2013 3 30 /kW6,000 /kW/ 294 kW 2015 3 /kW11,000 /kW/ 1,000 kW 2020 /kW4,800 5,220 /kW/ 2,660 kW 2030 /kW4,098 4,590 /kW/ 7 2030 50 /kWh 20 25 /kWhCMS /kWh 20 /kWh /kWh 5 /kWh 25 /kWh5791113151719212013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 01,0002,0003,0004,000 /kWh kW JWPA )

4 150 (74 739 600 (41 370 900 kW 54 648 3, kW 3, kW 2014 JWPA 2013 2 2013 3 WG 8 : 50 V V 9 2020 20 101 1 2 4 8 14 31 46 68 93 108 149 167 188 219 248 256 264 270 292 0501001502002503003504004505002015 2016 2017))

5 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 kW 11 1 kW 10 kW kW 8 kW kW kW 1 kW kW 22 kW 3 kW 25 kW kW 6 kW kW 50 kW kW kW kW 8 kW kW kW 2015 2030 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30200 W 620 kW 850 kW 1000 kW|||| 1 2 3 1 2 3 SEP 1 3 1 2 3 4 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 JWPA 12 JWPA 2013