風力発電導入ポテンシャルと ... - jwpa.jp

1 2 50Hz 60 50 50 2050 2010 2050 2008 6 9,300 kWh 7,580 kWh 2010 10,451 kWh 2012 2 2050 2010 10 5,000 kW 2014 5 2050 20 7,500 kW 1 W 200 1 kW/1 2 / 30 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 GW (15) (20) (22) 1 (25)

2 80m 25 20,983 kW 7,436 kW 4 jwpa 60Hz 02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0001 6,000 W 2010 80m 30 15,646 kW 6,165 kW 5 30km 50m jwpa 60Hz 02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0001 6,000 W 2010 80m 35 30,046 kW 8,480 kW 6 30km 50m 200 jwpa 60Hz 02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0001 6,000 W 2010 1/2 1/3 1/4 23,218 kW 7,672 kW 7 jwpa 60Hz 02,0004,0006,0008,00010,00012,00014,0001 6.

3 000 W 2010 4/4 2/4 1/42050 2050 20 50Hz 60Hz / / 8 60Hz 2050 20 2050 25 50Hz ,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000 W 2050 2010 4/4 2/4 1/42050 9 60Hz 2010 kW kW kW kW kW 742 440 390 500 1,721 2,150 1,050 730 370 6,499 1,250 150 510 590 806 160 150 100 3,283 1,020 280 380 360 3,488 480 460 10 10 1.

4 199 310 31000 696 240 1600 80 2,033 1,410 810 210 390 192 40 4000 20,658 7,500 3,800 1,900 1,800 8,961 3,840 1,590 1,290 960 * 11,504 3,620 2,170 610 840 2050 20 102050 20 2050 25 2010 20% 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,00 0200020022004200620082010201220142016201 8202020222024202620282030203220342036203 8204020422044204620482050 [ ] kWh 2010 248 24530 432020 1,090 1,020 60 10 2302030 3,620 2,660 580 380 8402040 6,590 3,800 1,500 1,290 1,6202050 7,500 3,800 1,900 1,800 1,880 kW 2030 2035 300 kW/ 20 20 2030 350 kW 110501001502002503003504004505002010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 [ ] 0501001502002503003504004505002010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 [ ]

5 jwpa 2012 * * * 12 2012-6-29 2012-4-16 2012-3-2 kW2020 2030 2050 RE 35 30 25 Case- 2012 2013 8 2013 3 34 NISTEP DP 2 EWEA Pure Power EC EWEA 29 3-1 20 11 26 3 7 /kW 6 /kW jwpa 25 11 28 3 / 1 /

6 13 : : 14 2020 2030 2050 3,300 4,260 3,810 1,280 2,470 2,010 400 3,360 2,290 4,980 10,090 8,110 2020 2030 2050 6,040 7,800 6,970 2,240 4,330 3,540 700 5,900 4,020 8,980 18,030 14,520 2020 2030 2050 395045 153024 54128 5912197 2020 2030 2050 870 2,260 2,960 250 2,400 5,780 40 1,600 5,960 1,160 6,260 14,700 2020 2030 2050 1,790 4,660 6,250 480 4,670 11,960 80 3,080 12,110 2,350 12,410 30,320 2020 2030 2050 123143 32775 01874 1576193 (kg-CO2/kWh)

7 [kg-CO2/kWh] 24 25 12 CO2 [kg-CO2/kWh] CO2 (2010 8 2008 2012 12 7,800 2012 13 4,300 2014 4 2050 CO2 15 202020302050 t-CO21,116 3,002 4,369 t-CO282799 2,621 t-CO216612 2,897 t-CO21,214 4,413 9,888 CO2 2050 20 2050 7,500 kW 2050 290 2050 CO2 9,900 -CO2 1/2 1/3 1/4 50Hz 60Hz 1/2 1/4 16 2013 17 4,747 4,557 22,637 34,468 10,946 4,474 603 2,714 8,448 61,292 8,128 7,813 91,460 3,489 2,670 VAVIGANT RESEARCH World Market Update 2013 (March 2014))

8 18010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,0007 0,00080,00090,000100,000110,0002004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 MW 40,000 20,000020,00040,00060,00080,000100,00012 0,000140,000160,000180,000200,000220,000 240,000260,000280,000300,0002004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 19020,00040,00060,00080,000100,000120,00 0140,000160,000180,000 TransnetBW 50hertzTennet Amprion 2012 ,00040,00060,00080,000100,000120,000140, 000160,000180,000200,0002003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 MW 100,000 50,000050,000100,000150,000200,000250,00 0300,000350,000400,000450,000500,000550, 000600,000650,000700.

9 0002003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 22 2011 2 21 2010 3 22 2011 3 23 2012 6 24 2013 8 2050 2008 6 2008 2 2010 1 ( ) 2010 6 ( ) 2012 2