중국 일대일로의 기회와 시사점 - hri.co.kr

1 17-14 v 1. 12. 23. 11 , . : (2072-6306, : (2072-6274, 2013 ( ,OneBelt,OneRoad) 2016 1 (AIIB) ,2017 5 .. GDP 30% 65 .. , .2016 , 11 2010 , 15 . 11 , 15.))

2 11 (2015 ) 2010 . (2016 ) , , 15 . 24 . , , .. GDP 5% .2016~2030 15 13 1,200 22 5,510 . , , 11 6890 , , 7 7,960 . , , , . Executive SummaryEXECUTIVESUMMARYii< / >( ,%) (2010~2016 , ) , (2010~2016 , ) : HRI . , , (2010~2016 ).

3 - . , .. , , . , . , - . , , . , , . , . , (AIIB) , . , . , . 11. 2013 ,AIIB - ( ,OneBelt,OneRoad).

4 , ( ) 6 (EconomicCorridor) 1)-2013 2017 AIIB .2014 12 ,2016 1 (AIIB) ,2017 5 < 6 > < > (NDB) (54 ) 13 5 ( ) ( ) ( ~18)-AIIB2 ( ) : . : .1) 100 2049 35 (2014~2049) , 2016~2020 11 . 22. GDP 30% - 65 , GDP 28% - 11 , 14 , 15 , 24 65 < ( ) > (11 ) , , , , , , , , , , (14 )( ) , , , , , ( ) , , , , , , , , (15 )( ) , , , , , , , , , , , , , ( ) (24 ) , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , : 65.

5 -65 GDP , < (2015 ) > (65 ) GDP75 2,417 21 1,500 73 4,671 45 6,267 1 2,973 km24,971 :WorldBank HRI . : GDP , , ; . 3 , - 2014 , .2016 2,539 ,9,621 ,2014 . 2016 , , - , , , 11 .2016 , 11 2010 , 15 . 11 , 15 , < >( )( ,%)< >( ,%) 10 13 16 10 13 16 11 14 15 24 100100100100100100 : ,UNComtrade HRI.

6 : ,UNComtrade HRI . 4 - .2016 80 , .2015 , 214 ,2014 - , 11 , .2015 , 11 2010 .2016 , , . , 24 < >( )( ,%)< >( ,%) 10 13 15 10 13 16 11 14 15 24 100100100100100100 : ,UNComtrade HRI . : ,UNComtrade HRI . 5 , - . 2015 , ,2016 2015.

7 , 2015 2016 2014~2015 50~60% 2016 40% - , . 2015 926 2016 1,260 . 2015 693 2016 760 < >( )< >( ) : HRI . : HRI . 6 1. 15 [2016 ][2016 ] ( ) ( ) 36, 9, 15 [2015 ][2016 ] ( ) ( ) 7 GDP 5% -2016~2030 15 GDP.

8 2016~2030 15 13 1,200 22 5,510 . 15 13 78,10 , 5 4,770 . , GDP - , .2016~2030 15 11 6,890 , . 7 7,960 , , < 2016~2030 >( )< 2016~2030 >( ) GDP 5, 4, 13, 13, 2, 1, 22,5511, 11, 7, 2, 22,551100%1,503 :ADB(2017),MeetingAsia sinfrastructureneeds. :ADB(2017),MeetingAsia sinfrastructureneeds. 8 , , , - , . 2016 282 2010 716.

9 2010~2016 , , , . , ( ) ( ), ( ) 3 95% < >( )( ,%)< / >( ,%) (2010~2016 , ) , (2010~2016 , ) : HRI . : HRI . : , , , , , , , . 9 - - . 5 1,130 ( 18 ) . , , 2,500 ( 41 ),1,300 ( 21 ).

10 , - < > < > -1,130 - :2,500 - :1,300 - SDR ( ) - , , , , , , , ,UAE, , ( )- , 32 3 190 : ( ). : ,SWIFT . 10 , , - , . , . , , - , . 2014 2016 2 , . , , , - , - < >.