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The Global Risks Report 2018 13th Edition

Insight Report The Global Risks Report 2018. 13th Edition The Global Risks Report 2018, 13th Edition , is published by the World Economic Forum. The information in this Report , or on which this Report is based, has been obtained from sources that the authors believe to be reliable and accurate. However, it has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from third parties. In addition, the statements in this Report may provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or a current fact.

Dec 12, 2017 · Geopolitical Environmental Societal Technological Figure I: The Global Risks Landscape 2018 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2017–2018. Note: Survey respondents were asked to assess the likelihood of the individual global risk on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 representing a risk that is very unlikely to happen and 5 a risk

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Transcription of The Global Risks Report 2018 13th Edition

1 Insight Report The Global Risks Report 2018. 13th Edition The Global Risks Report 2018, 13th Edition , is published by the World Economic Forum. The information in this Report , or on which this Report is based, has been obtained from sources that the authors believe to be reliable and accurate. However, it has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from third parties. In addition, the statements in this Report may provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or a current fact.

2 These statements involve known and unknown Risks , uncertainties and other factors which are not exhaustive. The companies contributing to this Report operate in a continually changing environment and new Risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these statements. The companies contributing to this Report undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update any statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise and they shall in no event be liable for any loss or damage arising in connection with the use of the information in this Report .

3 World Economic Forum Geneva World Economic Forum . 2018 All rights reserved. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, or otherwise without the prior permission of the World Economic Forum. ISBN: 978-1-944835-15-6. REF: 09012018. The Report and an interactive data platform are available at World Economic Forum 91-93 route de la Capite CH-1223 Cologny/Geneva Switzerland Tel.: +41 (0) 22 869 1212.

4 Fax: +41 (0) 22 786 2744. Global Risks Landscape Figure I: The Global Risks Landscape 2018. Weapons of mass destruction Extreme weather events Natural disasters Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation Water crises Cyberattacks Biodiversity loss and Food crises ecosystem collapse Large-scale involuntary migration Spread of infectious Interstate conflict diseases Man-made environmental disasters Critical information average Profound social infrastructure breakdown instability Failure of national governance Fiscal crises Terrorist attacks Unemployment or Failure of regional or underemployment Global

5 Governance Data fraud or theft Asset bubbles in a major economy Failure of critical State collapse or crisis infrastructure Failure of financial Energy price shock mechanism or institution Adverse consequences of Failure of urban planning technological advances Impact Illicit trade Unmanageable inflation Deflation plotted area average Likelihood Top 10 Risks in terms of Top 10 Risks in terms of Likelihood Impact 1 Extreme weather events 1 Weapons of mass destruction Categories 2 Natural disasters 2 Extreme weather events Economic 3 Cyberattacks 3 Natural disasters 4 Data fraud or theft 4 Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation Environmental 5 Failure of climate-change mitigation and adaptation 5 Water crises 6 Large-scale involuntary migration 6 Cyberattacks geopolitical 7 Man-made environmental disasters 7 Food crises 8 Terrorist attacks 8 Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Societal 9 Illicit trade 9 Large-scale involuntary migration Technological 10 Asset bubbles in a major economy 10 Spread of infectious diseases

6 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2017 2018. Note: Survey respondents were asked to assess the likelihood of the individual Global risk on a scale of 1 to 5, 1 representing a risk that is very unlikely to happen and 5 a risk that is very likely to occur. They also assess the impact on each Global risk on a scale of 1 to 5 (1: minimal impact, 2: minor impact, 3: moderate impact, 4: severe impact and 5: catastrophic impact). See Appendix B for more details. To ensure legibility, the names of the Global Risks are abbreviated; see Appendix A for the full name and description.

7 Figure II: The Risks -Trends Interconnections Map 2018. Trend Interconnection Map Rising chronic diseases Increasing national sentiment Changing climate Changing climate Changing landscape of international governance Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Man-made environmental Natural disasters Degrading environment disasters Food crises Extreme weather events Spread of infectious Energy price shock diseases Failure of climate-change Shifting power Water crises mitigation and adaptation Large-scale involuntary migration Interstate conflict Failure of urban planning Weapons

8 Of mass destruction Failure of regional or State collapse or crisis Global governance Rising urbanization Profound social Failure of national governance instability Failure of critical Terrorist attacks Unmanageable inflation infrastructure Unemployment or Adverse consequences of underemployment Critical information technological advances Increasing polarization infrastructure breakdown of societies societies Cyberattacks Deflation Illicit trade Fiscal crises Growing middle class in emerging economies Data fraud or theft Asset bubbles in a major economy Failure of financial mechanism or institution Rising income and wealth disparity Rising geographic mobility Rising geographic mobility Ageing population Rising cyber dependency Rising cyber dependency Risks Trends Economic geopolitical Technological Risks Risks Risks Number and strength Number and strength Environmental Societal of connections of connections Risks Risks ( weighted degree ) ( weighted degree ).

9 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2017 2018. Note: Survey respondents were asked to select the three trends that are the most important in shaping Global development in the next 10 years. For each of the three trends identified, respondents were asked to select the Risks that are most strongly driven by those trends. See Appendix B for more details. To ensure legibility, the names of the Global Risks are abbreviated; see Appendix A for the full name and description. Risk Interconnection Map Figure III: The Global Risks Interconnections Map 2018.

10 Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse Man-made environmental disasters Food crises Natural disasters Extreme weather events Energy price shock Spread of infectious Failure of climate-change diseases Water crises mitigation and adaptation Large-scale involuntary migration Interstate conflict Failure of urban planning Weapons of mass destruction State collapse or crisis Failure of regional or Global governance Profound social Terrorist attacks instability Failure of critical Failure of national infrastructure governance Unmanageable inflation Unemployment or underemployment Adverse consequences of technological advances Critical information Cyberattacks infrastructure breakdown Illicit trade Fiscal crises Deflation Data fraud or theft Asset bubbles in a major economy Failure of financial mechanism or institution Economic geopolitical Technological Risks Risks Risks Number and strength Environmental Societal of connections Risks Risks ( weighted degree ).


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