TSC Foresight 地球環境対策（フロン）』概要

1 27 NEDO TSC Foresight 2 TSCF oresight 27 10 30 TSC Environment &Chemistry 2-1 2-2 2-3 2 TSCF oresight Macro Analysis Unit 3 1 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry 4 1 GWP (Global-warming potential CO2 ) 2 1 4 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-1 COP21 2015 12 2030 2013 5 2 2013 CO2 1411121312 7,000 199013 9,700 200514 800 + (2005 + )(1990 + )200820092010201120122013013 400 ( )13 5,400 ( )12 5,000 ( )13 9,000 ( )13 2,700 ( )13 7,600 (2005 )14 1,200 ( + )

2 20062007 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-1 2004 2013 3,860 -CO2 COP21 2015 12 2030 2013 HFC 2013 82%6 3 4 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0001990 1991199219931994199519961997199819992000 2001200220032004200520062007200820092010 201120122013 4 t-CO2 HFCs 3,180 (+ ) + PFCs 330 ( ) NF3 140 (+ ) + SF6 220 ( ) (2005 ) [ ] 4 3,860 CO2 (+ )[+ ] TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003 ,500199019911992199319941995199619971998 1999200020012002200320042005200620072008 20092010201120122013 HFCs t-CO2 HCFC-22 HFC-23 2 ( ) 2,870 (+ ) + MDI 50 ( ) 10 ( ) HFC 10 ( ) + 10 (+ ) + 220 (+ ) + 2-1 HFC HCFC HFC-23 2013 HFC 90%7 4 HFC HFC 3,180 CO2 (+ )[+ ](2005 )

3 [ ] TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-1 2002 2015 GWP 8 3 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-1 GWP 9 5 GWP TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%1 00%20152020202520302035204020452050 F-gas 100 93 63 45 31 24 21 90 70 50 30 15 100 80 60 40 15 2-1 F-gas HFC 2015 HFC 10 7 3 F-gas EU TSCF oresight TSC Environment &ChemistryHFO-1243 2-2 GWP HFC-32 GWP 675 GWP HFO HFO-1234yf GWP 4, DuPont/Honeywell HFO-1123 GWP , NEDO 11 8 GWP 1 CO2 GWP 1 GWP 3 GWP 3 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-2 & 12 9 ( ) ( )

4 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-3 2015 86 2020 102 13010,00020,00030,00040,00050,00060,0007 0,00080,00090,000100,000110,0000500,0001 ,000,0001,500,0002,000,0002,500,0003,000 ,0003,500,0004,000,0002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2020 11 9 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-3 14 10 2012 Environment &Chemistry2-3 30%15 200220042006200820102012 12 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-3 1 2 160 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25.

5 000 14 2003 2012 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry 17 3 COP3 1997 F-Gas EU 15 HFO GWP TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry COP21 2015 12 G7 2015 6 2050 2010 40 70% HFC GWP 18 TSCF oresight 27 8 20 JCM CO2 L2-Tech TSC Environment &Chemistry19 TSC Environment &Chemistry2-1 2009 20 2 HFC TSCF oresight

6 Environment &Chemistry2-1 HFC 2 1 HFC 21 6 TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry2-3 GWP 4 22010203040506070 2006-2010 2011-2015 13 GWP TSCF oresight Environment &Chemistry 3 2025 50% 2029 70% 23 05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004 ,5002014 2025 GWP , -CO22025 2029 2033 2014 GWP 7502018 7502020 1502023 15002025 1002019 TSC Environment &Chemistry 24 2012 , 2013