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Predictive Modeling: Basics and Beyond

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Predictive Modeling: Basics and Beyond June 2009. SCIOinspire Corp Proprietary & confidential. Copyright 2010. Agenda 1. What is Predictive Modeling? 2. Types of Predictive models. 3. Data and Data Preparation. 4. Applications case studies. 2. SCIOinspire Corp Proprietary & confidential. Copyright 2010. Introductions Ian Duncan FSA FIA FCIA MAAA. President, Solucia Consulting, A SCIOinspire Company. Actuarial Consulting company founded in 1998. A leader in managed care, disease management and Predictive modeling applications. 4 healthcare actuaries; 4 PhDs; healthcare analytics team. Four main business segments: Disease and Care Management consulting (operations; ROI; outcomes; Predictive modeling). Actuarial Consulting (start up health insurers in NY and IN; state Medicaid plans; Massachusetts Healthcare Connector Board Member). Wellness and Care Management Operations Support Services (analytics, data management, risk assessment, outreach, fulfillment). Analytics and Reporting Software Applications.

Predictive modeling is a set of tools used to stratify a population according to its risk of nearly any ... 996.57 ICD-9-CM Mechanical complications, due to insulin pump V45.85 ICD-9-CM Insulin pump status V53.91 ICD-9-CM Fitting/adjustment of insulin pump, insulin pump titration ... Construction of a model*

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