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2 Probability Theory and Classical Statistics

2 Probability Theory and Classical StatisticsStatistical inference rests on Probability Theory , and so an in-depth under-standing of the basics of Probability Theory is necessary for acquiringa con-ceptual foundation for mathematical Statistics . First courses in Statistics forsocial scientists, however, often divorce Statistics and Probability early withthe emphasis placed on basic statistical modeling ( , linear regression) inthe absence of a grounding of these models in Probability Theory and prob-ability distributions. Thus, in the first part of this chapter, I review somebasic concepts and build statistical modeling from Probability Theory . In thesecond part of the chapter, I review the Classical approach to Statistics as itis commonly applied in social science Rules of probabilityDefining Probability is a difficult challenge, and there are several approachesfor doing so.

2 Probability Theory and Classical Statistics Statistical inference rests on probability theory, and so an in-depth under-standing of the basics of probability theory is necessary for acquiring a con-

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