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CRISIS AND INTELLIGENCE: TWO CASE STUDIES

Approvedfor Release:2014/05/20 TetandIranCRISISANDINTELLIGENCE:TWO CASESTUDIES Allen can take ondifferentforms and result from variousdevelopments-asurpriseattack,theo utbreakof war, a coup,thecollapse of agovernment,increasinggrowthof aninsurgency,rampantdemonstrationsandrio ts, assassination of animportantpoliticalleader,massiveeconom icfailure,downingofaircraft,sinking orseizureof a ship, and so forth. A CRISIS candevelopsuddenlywithlittleor nowarning,it cangraduallydevelopovertimeandthensudden lyblow, oritcan be aheighteningof orsuddendevelopmentwithina crisisalreadyin ofintelligencepriorto a CRISIS is toeliminatesurprisebyalertingandwarningo f CRISIS is taking place, therole ofintelligenceis tokeepthepolicvmakersand crisismanagersinformedofwhatis going a widevarietyof wayspriorto andduringa CRISIS inwhichintelligenceis fed into 's (CIA)NationalIntelligenceDaily,theDepart mentofState's(BureauofIntelligenceand Research, INR)MorningSummary,andtheDefenseIntellig enceAgency's (DIA) ,read daily at theWhiteHouse and byothersat the top in the foreign affairs (SNIEs)

Approved for Release: 2014/05/20 Case Studies liberate key urban areas long enough to organize the population and lead a genuine rebellion against the Saigon regime-theoffensive dealt the US and

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