Ensembles for Time Series Forecasting

On the di culty of training recurrent neural networks

On the di culty of training recurrent neural networks @Et+1 @xt+1 Et Et+1 Et 1 xt 1 xt +1 ut +11 u tu @Et @xt @Et1 @xt1 @ xt +2 @xt +1 @x +1 x @xt1 @xt1 @xt2 Figure 2. Unrolling recurrent neural networks in time by creating a copy of the model for each time step.

TPOT: A Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool for ...

JMLR: Workshop and Conference Proceedings 64:66{74, 2016 ICML 2016 AutoML Workshop TPOT: A Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool for Automating Machine …

  Automating, Machine, Tool, Pipeline, Optimization, Pipeline optimization tool for automating machine

Show, Attend and Tell: Neural Image CaptionGeneration …

Show, Attend and Tell: Neural Image Caption Generation with Visual Attention Kelvin Xu? KELVIN.XU@UMONTREAL.CA Jimmy Lei Bay JIMMY@PSI.UTORONTO.CA Ryan Kirosy RKIROS@CS.TORONTO.EDU Kyunghyun Cho?

  Image, Attention, Neural, Tell, And tell, Neural image captiongeneration, Captiongeneration

Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks

Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks Figure 1: These plots show ˆ(P ;P 0) as a function of when ˆis the EM distance (left plot) or the JS divergence (right plot).The EM plot is continuous and provides a usable gradient everywhere.

  Network, Adversarial, Generative, Wasserstein generative adversarial networks, Wasserstein

Self-Attention Generative Adversarial Networks

Self-Attention Generative Adversarial Networks Figure 1. The proposed SAGAN generates images by leveraging complementary features in distant portions of the image rather than local regions of fixed shape to generate consistent objects/scenarios. In each row, the first image shows five representative query locations with color coded dots.

  Network, Self, Attention, Adversarial, Generative, Self attention generative adversarial networks

Generative Adversarial Text to Image Synthesis

deep convolutional decoder networks to generate realistic images.Dosovitskiy et al.(2015) trained a deconvolutional network (several layers of convolution and upsampling) to generate 3D chair renderings conditioned on a set of graph-ics codes indicating shape, position and lighting.Yang et al. (2015) added an encoder network as well as actions ...

  Image, Texts, Decoder, Synthesis, Deep, Encoder, Convolutional, Text to image synthesis, Deep convolutional decoder

Deep Gaussian Processes

representational power of a Gaussian process in the same role is significantly greater than that of an RBM. For the GP the corresponding likelihood is over a continuous vari-able, but it is a nonlinear function of the inputs, p(yjx) = N yjf(x);˙2; where N j ;˙2 is a Gaussian density with mean and variance ˙2. In this case the likelihood is ...

  Process, Gaussian, Gaussian process

Noise-contrastive estimation: A new estimation principle ...

ated noise y. The estimation principle thus relies on noise with which the data is contrasted, so that we will refer to the new method as “noise-contrastive estima-tion”. In Section 2, we formally define noise-contrastive es-timation, establish fundamental statistical properties, and make the connection to supervised learning ex-plicit.

  Into, Noise, Estimation, Contrastive, Noise contrastive estimation, Noise contrastive estima tion, Estima, Timation

Gender Shades: Intersectional Accuracy Disparities in ...

117 million Americans are included in law en-forcement face recognition networks. A year-long research investigation across 100 police de-partments revealed that African-American indi-viduals are more likely to be stopped by law enforcement and be subjected to face recogni-tion searches than individuals of other ethnici-ties (Garvie et al.,2016).

  Enforcement, Gender, Shades, Stopped, Forcement, Stopped by law enforcement, Law en forcement, Gender shades

Variational Inference with Normalizing Flows

provement in performance (Mnih & Gregor,2014). There is also a large body of evidence that describes the detri-mental effect of limited posterior approximations.Turner & Sahani(2011) provide an exposition of two commonly experienced problems. The first is the widely-observed problem of under-estimation of the variance of the poste-

  Inference, Estimation, Gregor, Variational, Variational inference

Sales Prediction with Time Series Modeling - …

Sales Prediction with Time Series Modeling Gautam Shine, Sanjib Basak I. Introduction Predicting sales-related time series quantities like number of transactions, page views, and revenues is ... P.A. Fishwick, Time series forecasting using neural networks vs Box-Jenkins methodology, Simulation, Vol. 57 (1991) pp. 303-310.

  Series, With, Seal, Time, Modeling, Time series, Prediction, Forecasting, Time series forecasting, Sales prediction with time series modeling

Introduction to Time Series Regression and …

14-1 Introduction to Time Series Regression and Forecasting (SW Chapter 14) Time series data are data collected on the same observational unit at multiple time periods Aggregate consumption and GDP for a country (for

  Series, Time, Time series, Forecasting, And forecasting

Modeling approaches for time series forecasting …

time series regression and anomaly detection as well [17]. Some previous application of KNN regression have been forecasting traffic flow [20] and predict rice prices [18].

  Series, Time, Time series, Forecasting, Approaches, Approaches for time series forecasting

Nonlinear Time Series in Financial Forecasting

cial forecasting and macroeconomic forecasting share many of the techniques and statistical models that will be explained in detail in this article. In –nancial forecasting a major object of study is the return to a –nancial asset, mostly

  Series, Time, Financial, Forecasting, Nonlinear, Nonlinear time series in financial forecasting

Time Series and Forecasting - Saed Sayad

Time Series and Forecasting Time Series • A time series is a sequence of measurements over time, usually obtained at equally spaced intervals – Daily – Monthly – Quarterly – Yearly. 2 Dow Jones Industrial Average 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000

  Series, Time, Time series, Forecasting, Time series and forecasting, Time series and forecasting time series

Time Series Forecasting - R in Finance

Time Series Forecasting with State Space Models Eric Zivot University of Washington Guy Yollin ... describes the evolution of the state vector over time. The measurement equation has the form y t m 1 = F t (m p) t (p 1) + v t 1; v t ˘iid N(0;V t) The transition equation for the state vector

  Series, Time, Forecasting, Time series forecasting

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting in SAS® …

1 Paper 1270-2017 Time Series Analysis and Forecasting in SAS® University Edition Christopher Battiston, Women’s College Hospital and Lucy D’Agostino McGowan, Vanderbilt

  Analysis, Series, University, Time, Edition, Forecasting, Time series analysis and forecasting, Time series analysis and forecasting in sas, 174 university edition

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting - Cengage

15-2 Chapter 15 Time Series Analysis and Forecasting Nevada Occupational Health Clinic is a privately owned medical clinic in Sparks, Nevada. The clinic specializes in industrial medicine. Operating at the same site for

  Analysis, Series, Time, Forecasting, Time series analysis and forecasting

Forecasting with moving averages - people.duke.edu

far as time series forecasting is concerned. The mean model assumes that the best predictor of what will happen tomorrow is the average of …

  Series, With, Time, Moving, Average, Forecasting, Time series forecasting, Forecasting with moving averages

Time Series Analysis and Its Applications: With R …

time series analysis, not about R. R code is provided simply to enhance the exposition by making the numerical examples reproducible. We have tried, where possible, to keep the problem sets in order so that an

  Applications, Analysis, Series, With, Time, Time series, Time series analysis and its applications